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📈 Macroeconomics

The NFIB said Tuesday that its small-business optimism index fell to 91.3 in October, further below historical average of 98.

The NFIB said Tuesday that its small-business optimism index fell to 91.3 in October, further below historical average of 98. From their commentary: "Success for the Fed is bad news for small businesses, sales will fall, costs will be sticky, so profits will take take a hit. Rough

Inflation Alert! Ahead of Thursday's CPI numbers, the Federal Reserve bank of Cleveland daily “nowcasts” shows October with CPI at 8.09% and PCE at 6.23%

About Inflation Nowcasting The Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland provides daily “nowcasts” of inflation for two popular price indexes, the price index for personal consumption expenditures (PCE) and the consumer price index (CPI). Nowcasts are estimates or forecasts of the present. The Cleveland Fed produces nowcasts of the current period&

Let's dig into data that could make Jerome Powell say: "There is significant uncertainty around that level of interest rates."

Let's dig into data that could make Jerome Powell say: "There is significant uncertainty around that level of interest rates. Even so, we still have some ways to go, and incoming data since our last meeting suggest that the ultimate level of interest rates will be higher

U.S. Economic Calendar Alert! (November 7th-November 11th): This Week's Major U.S. Economic Reports, Fed Speakers, and Statements.

Good morning r/superstonk, I hope everyone had a wonderful weekend! Please check back as this post will be updated as these indicators are released. If you would like to review last week's calendar, it can be viewed here. Thanks and I hope everyone has a terrific start

ICYMI Weekend Review (October 31st-November 4th): A recap with analysis of this Week's Major U.S. Economic Reports, Fed Speakers, and Statements.

Hello r/Superstonk, I hope everyone is enjoying a nice start to the weekend! This is another attempt at tying posts and happenings from the week in one spot. MONDAY, OCT. 31 Report/SpeechPeriodPreviousActualSuperstonk Coverage:Chicago PMIOct.45.745.2chicago_pmi_dropped TUESDAY, NOV. 1 Report/SpeechPeriodPreviousActualSuperstonk Coverage:S&

Federal Reserve Alert! Fed releases Financial Stability Report, their framework for assessing the resilience of the U.S. financial system and presents the Board’s current assessment.

They see as vulnerabilities: Asset valuations, Borrowing by business and households, Leverage, and Funding Risks. Source: https://www.federalreserve.gov/publications/files/financial-stability-report-20221104.pdf Against this backdrop, our view of the current level of vulnerabilities is as follows: 1. Asset valuations. Higher interest rates and a weaker outlook for the

Inflation Alert! Boston Fed President Susan Collins today in speech: “It is premature to signal how high rates should go,” "A focus on the level – not the pace- is what resolve’ looks like in this second policy phase,”

Source: https://www.brookings.edu/wp-content/uploads/2022/11/Susan-M-Collins-Remarks-Brookings-Nov-4-2022.pdf Good morning, and thank you for having me speak with you today. It is truly a pleasure to be hosted by the Brookings Institution for this talk. My association with the Brookings Economic Studies area extends back some 30