๐Ÿ“ˆ Macroeconomics

NY Fed Survey: Expected likelihood of becoming unemployed rises. Meanwhile, conditional on expecting an offer, the average expected annual salary in the next 4 months increased sharply to $67,416 from $60,310 in July 2022, a new record.

NY Fed Survey: Expected likelihood of becoming unemployed rises. Meanwhile, conditional on expecting an offer, the average expected annual salary in the next 4 months increased sharply to $67,416 from $60,310 in July 2022, a new record.

Mean July 2022 $60,764 Wages on offers grew 14.3% year over year. The Fed is not going to like this for inflation! Mean wage July 2022:$60,310 Expectations of working longer rising... Wut Mean?: * The average full-time offer wage received rose sharply to $69,475. * The average
dismal-jellyfish ๐Ÿ“ˆ Macroeconomics

Here comes the brrr? China Evergrande collapse shows need for $1 trillion Beijing rescue plan, says Clocktower strategist.

source: https://www.marketwatch.com/story/china-evergrande-collapse-shows-need-for-1-trillion-beijing-rescue-plan-says-clocktower-strategist TLDRS: * Since mid-2021, companies accounting for 40% of Chinese home sales have defaulted, including Evergrande in late 2021, stoking fears about the resilience of the worldโ€™s second-largest economy. * This analyst said China may need to absorb some $1 trillion in soured real-estate
dismal-jellyfish ๐Ÿ“ˆ Macroeconomics
BTFP usage UP AGAIN (.4% to $107.242B vs $106.864B 8/9), marking the 11th consecutive week over $100B. This looks more and more like there's an over-reliance on Fed Funding--growing faster than inflation 'should be,' I believe the BTFP is a moral hazard!

BTFP usage UP AGAIN (.4% to $107.242B vs $106.864B 8/9), marking the 11th consecutive week over $100B. This looks more and more like there's an over-reliance on Fed Funding--growing faster than inflation 'should be,' I believe the BTFP is a moral hazard!

Hello & HAPPY almost Friday Superstonk! Borrowing from the Bank Term Funding Program hit a NEW all time high--the 11th consecutive week above $100 billion! What we are monitoring: 1. Bank Term Funding Program (BTFP) 2. Discount Window/Primary Credit 3. "Other Credit Extensions" I hope to shed
dismal-jellyfish ๐Ÿ“ˆ Macroeconomics
"These vulnerabilities will remain for some time." Fitch Ratings lowered the operating environment score for U.S. banks in June to โ€˜aa-โ€˜ from โ€˜aaโ€™

"These vulnerabilities will remain for some time." Fitch Ratings lowered the operating environment score for U.S. banks in June to โ€˜aa-โ€˜ from โ€˜aaโ€™

Fitch Ratings-New York-17 August 2023: Fitch Ratings lowered the operating environment (OE) score for U.S. banks in June to โ€˜aa-โ€˜ from โ€˜aaโ€™ mainly due to structural uncertainty around the path and rate of monetary tightening and gaps in in the regulatory framework. The lowering of the OE score did
dismal-jellyfish ๐Ÿ“ˆ Macroeconomics