๐ŸŒก๏ธ Inflation

Inflation Alert! Fed releases Inflation Expectations Fall at Short-Term Horizon but Rise Slightly at Longer Horizons. One-year (4.4%), 3year (2.9%), and 5-year (2.6%) inflation expectations all higher than the Fed's target of 2%.

Inflation appears to be becoming anchored in consumers expectations. Source: https://www.newyorkfed.org/microeconomics/sce#/hhincexp-1 The main findings from the April 2023 Survey are: Inflation * Median inflation expectations declined by 0.3 percentage point at the one-year-ahead horizon to 4.4%, but increased by 0.1 percentage point
dismal-jellyfish ๐Ÿ“ˆ Macroeconomics

Inflation Alert! March SCE Labor Market Survey: The average full-time offer wage received in the past four months increased to $62,088 from $59,834 in November 2022.

The average reservation wageโ€”the lowest wage respondents would be willing to accept for a new jobโ€”rose to a new series high of $75,811 Source: https://www.newyorkfed.org/microeconomics/sce/labor#/ * The Federal Reserve Bank of New Yorkโ€™s Center for Microeconomic Data today released the March
dismal-jellyfish ๐Ÿ“ˆ Macroeconomics

Federal Reserve Alert! James Bullard: "Financial stress can be harrowing, but also tends to reduce the level of interest rates"

โ€œContinued appropriate macroprudential policy can contain financial stress, while appropriate monetary policy can continue to put downward pressure on inflationโ€ St. Louis Federal Reserve President James Bullard Presentation: "Financial Stress and the Economy," Arkansas Bankers Associationโ€™s 133rd Annual Convention, Day with the Commissioner, Little Rock, Ark. Source:
dismal-jellyfish ๐Ÿ“ˆ Macroeconomics

Inflation Alert! The Fedโ€™s Preferred inflation metric dropped a little. However, PCE Price Index for services rose 5.7%. Remember, Nearly 2/3 of consumer spending goes into services!

While Corporate Media will trumpet the decline in goods prices, inflation is RAGING and showing no signs of slowing. Before we get into the number, Governor Philip N. Jefferson's recent speech does a pretty good job level setting PCE price index for those wondering what it is: Different
dismal-jellyfish ๐Ÿ“ˆ Macroeconomics